Comparing future patterns of energy system change in 2 °C scenarios with historically observed rates of change     

《Global Environmental Change》2015

This paper systematically compares modeled rates of change provided by global integrated assessment models aiming for the 2 °C objective to historically observed rates of change. Such a comparison can provide insights into the difficulty of achieving such stringent climate stabilization scenarios. The analysis focuses specifically on the rates of change for technology expansion and diffusion, emissions and energy supply investments. The associated indicators vary in terms of system focus (technology-specific or energy system wide), temporal scale (timescale or lifetime), spatial scale (regional or global) and normalization (accounting for entire system growth or not). Although none of the indicators provide conclusive insights as to the achievability of scenarios, this study finds that indicators that look into absolute change remain within the range of historical growth frontiers for the next decade, but increase to unprecedented levels before mid-century. Indicators that take into account or normalize for overall system growth find future change to be broadly within historical ranges. This is particularly the case for monetary-based normalization metrics like GDP compared to energy-based normalization metrics like primary energy. By applying a diverse set of indicators alternative, complementary insights into how scenarios compare with historical observations are acquired but they do not provide further insights on the possibility of achieving rates of change that are beyond current day practice.  相似文献   

特殊建筑物雷击截收面积计算     

李京校  宋平健  李如箭  逯曦  张宇龙 《气象科技》2015,43(2):331-337

从计算雷击截收面积的逻辑关系出发,以斜坡类建筑和圆顶形建筑两类特殊建筑为例,通过建立相关模型和数学公式,分析计算应从何位置按照何扩大宽度往外偏移能准确地求出截收面积。对于单檐斜坡类建筑、重檐建筑或古塔,根据房檐到屋脊（塔尖）的水平距离和垂直距离的关系,判断出应该按房檐还是屋脊（塔尖）偏移。对于圆顶形或椭圆顶形建筑,利用建筑屋顶的数学公式,建立了到圆心中轴线距离的数学公式,并对其求导数,得到了导数为0时点的横、纵坐标,此点即为偏移点位置,同时得到了对应的扩大宽度。利用AutoCAD偏移及求面积命令得到截收面积,为防雷设计及雷电灾害风险评估中雷击截收面积的准确计算提供参考。  相似文献   

基于点云投影线探测的高墩位姿自动检测方法     

韩富庆  郭国和  杨承昆  吴勇生  王伟力  李彩林 《测绘通报》2021,(9):130-135,150

针对目前超高桥墩垂直度检测方法存在危险系数较高、精度难以保证或自动化程度与工作效率较低的情况,本文提出一种基于三维激光扫描技术的点云数据超高桥墩位姿自动检测方法。该方法首先将海量墩面点云双向分层;然后依条件选择分层文件探测点云投影线并划分桥墩面缓冲区;最后根据缓冲区自动提取墩面点云并进行位姿检测。本文以某山区高速桥梁高墩位姿检测为例进行试验,试验结果,表明该方法具有无接触测量、高自动化、高工作效率及检测范围全面的优势。  相似文献   

一种改进的基于转角函数法的面状居民地Morphing变换方法     

万瑞康  翟仁健  李安平  王柳松  齐林君 《测绘科学技术学报》2021,38(1):97-103,110

提出了一种顾及位置偏差与凹部同异性的面状居民地Morphing变换转向角函数方法。该方法通过构造大比例尺居民地的凸包作为中间图形,辅助与小比例尺居民地进行特征顶点匹配,避免因位置偏差造成的特征点误匹配;针对大比例尺居民地的凹部,依据凹部的模式类型,判定凹部边的同异性;最后构建插值模型,得到中间任意尺度下的面状居民地要素。实验证明方法具有良好的适用性和有效性,与原方法相比,能有效避免因特征点误匹配导致的插值结果顶点乱序现象,同时还兼顾了轮廓特征保持与居民地局部相似,能达到较好的Morphing变换效果。  相似文献   

新疆小热泉子铜矿物探异常特征及找矿效果     

闻晓慧  姚敬金  张素兰  林天亮  鲁瑞君  周志超 《新疆地质》2011,29(1):61-64

通过在小热泉子矿床开展高精度重力、激发极化面积性测量和高密度相位激电测深,对其物探异常特征进行分析解释,推断异常性质.经钻探工程验证,发现矿体与中高剩余重力、高极化率、中低电阻和高(负值)视相位异常对应较好.  相似文献   

Key challenges for maritime governance in West Africa: Fishery-based lessons from Guinea and Mauritania     

B. Trouillet  T. Guineberteau  M. Bernardon  S. Le Roux 《Marine Policy》2011

Maritime governance stakes are important in West Africa, if only due to the dominant role of fisheries, which coastal populations mainly depend on. In this context, with reference to the fishery sector mostly studied in two countries (Guinea and Mauritania), this paper aims to identify and synthesize the challenges to be met towards developing the governance of marine spaces. To this end, the analysis is based on field knowledge, which provides input into a grid set according to the various integration levels of the concept of ICZM. This paper thus reports the major methodological obstacles to be overcome, commensurate to the stakes insofar as marine policies can and must contribute to the economic and social development of this region.  相似文献   

不同取代位置羧甲基壳聚糖的核磁共振波谱和电位滴定分析     

王远红  王聪  于明明  张秀丽  姜廷福  刘潇潇  孟适秋  吕志华 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2011,(Z1):359-364

本文制备了O-羧甲基壳聚糖、N-羧甲基壳聚糖和N,O-羧甲基壳聚糖,并采用核磁共振波谱以及电位滴定方法对不同取代位置羧甲基壳聚糖取代度进行了分析。结果表明,核磁共振碳谱及DEPT谱可以确定羧甲基壳聚糖中羧甲基的取代位置,电位滴定法可以确定O-位羧甲基、N-位羧甲基以及总羧甲基的取代度,是一种简单易行的方法。  相似文献   

PGIS支持下的警务信息地图位置采集方式探讨     

陆娟  蒋平  吴伟 《地理信息世界》2011,9(6):26-29

随着PGIS平台在全国公安机关的广泛推广和深入应用,迫切需要将已有MIS业务系统与PGIS实现整合,而其中最为重要的就是如何实现基于PGIS的警务业务信息空间化问题.本文即以南京市公安局相关信息系统为例,对PGIS支持下的警务信息空间位置采集方式进行了探讨.对警务业务系统中相关信息的空间位置采集方式进行了流程设计、数据...  相似文献   

基于红边位置的台湾相思树叶片叶绿素含量估测模型研究     

张清林  陈文惠  张永贺  郭啸川  褚武道  许炜敏 《福建地理》2011,(3):9-17

在BRDF测试系统环境下利用ASD便携式野外光谱仪采集台湾相思树叶片光谱,并用UV2450-分光光度计对观测叶片进行叶绿素含量测定．对光谱数据采用不同算法获得红边位置变量,并与叶绿素含量进行拟合,构建用于估测台湾相思树叶片叶绿素含量的模型．结果表明,各种算法获得的红边位置变量用于构建模型估测叶绿素含量是可行的,其中,采用5次多项武拟合算法精度最高．经平滑处理后的一阶导数法精度坎之．  相似文献   

The Influence of Surface Building''s Relative Position on the Seismic Response of Subway Structures     

Li Fangjie  Zhao Fengxin  Zhang Yushan  You Hongbing 《中国地震研究》2011,25(2):250-259

By using the finite element method and viscoelastic artificial boundary,a soil-structure interaction system is established to simulate the influence of surface buildings on the seismic response of subway structures.The conditions of different relative positions between ground building and subway structure are analyzed.The results indicate that when considering the existence of surface buildings,the relative story displacements and internal forces of subway structures are changed greatly.Further the influence of surface buildings on subway structure changes as the distance increases.  相似文献